HSBC and emerging markets - Sovereign funds redress the wealth balance

Published: 26 May 2008

In the contest between the emerging markets and developed economies, the balance of trade and investment has increasingly tipped in favour of China over the last two decades - leaving it with billions in foreign exchange reserves. Much of this stored wealth is held as sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) - state-backed funds used to make long-term international investments.

Estimates put the total size of the world's sovereign wealth funds at anything from USD2-15 trillion. HSBC estimates the figure at around USD5 trillion. With well over a trillion dollars in foreign reserves, China has become one of the most significant investors in these funds, and increasingly is looking westward for opportunities to invest its excess capital.

Foreign direct investment overview (billions of USD)
FDI flows 1999 - 2000 (average) 2003 2004 2005 2006 Growth in % (1999-2006)
China Inward 30.1 53.5 60.6 72.4 69.5 131
  Outward 2.2 2.9 5.5 12.3 16.1 632
World Inward 495.4 564.1 742.1 945.8 1,305.9 164
  Outward 492.6 560.1 877.3 837.2 1,215.8 147
FDI flows 1999 - 2000 (average) 2003 2004 2005 2006 Growth in % (1999-2006)
China Inward 1.1 20.7 193.3 272.1 292.6 1,314
  Outward - 4.5 27.8 57.2 73.3 1,529
World Inward 551.2 1,779.2 5,810.2 10,048.0 11,998.8 574
  Outward 599.3 1,815.2 6,209.5 10,578.8 12,474.3 587

Source: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Hang SEng Bank (member, HSBC Group)

China, however, does not stand alone in using sovereign wealth funds to invest in the global market. Many emerging markets, and even developed economies such as the United States and Canada, have sovereign wealth funds of their own.

Foreign direct investment overview (billions of USD)
Country SWF AUM USDbn
UAE ADIA 400-450
Norway Government Pension Fund - Global 370
Singapore GIC 100+
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia funds - various types 300
Kuwait Reserve Fund for Future Generation 213
China China Investment Corporation 200
Singapore Temasek Holdings 100
Libya Oil Reserve Fund 40
Algeria Fond de regulation des recettes 40
Qatar Qatar Investment Authority 50
US (Alaska) Permanent Reserve Fund 37
Brunei Brunei Investment Authority 45
Malaysia Khazanah Nasional BHD 17.6
Russia Stabilisation Fund 148
Korea Korea Investment Corporation 20
Kazakhstan National Fund 21
ROC (Taiwan) National Stabilisation Fund 15
Canada Alberta Heritage TF 16.1
Iran Oil Stabilisation Fund 15
Chile Copper Funds 11
TOTAL   c. 1660

Source: HSBC estimates
From: 'For a few sovereigns more', HSBC Global Research

The use of SWFs to purchase international assets, and the issues attendant to these, are taken up in greater depth in HSBC Global Research's report 'For a Few Sovereigns More'.

For a few sovereigns more - February 2008

Will sovereign wealth funds change the balance of power in a global economy? The debates on the issue go beyond the financial realm and touches on political issues. What's clear is the key role that emerging markets play in this new equation.

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